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Germany’s Restaurant VAT Cut Yields Patchy Price Relief, Poll Shows Low Expectations

Higher wages plus input costs are pushing many independents to use the relief to steady operations.

Overview

  • Germany lowered VAT on restaurant food from 19% to 7% on January 1 as a permanent measure to support the sector.
  • McDonald’s cut recommended prices on select menus, Nordsee set its Backfisch menu at €8.99 nationwide, and KFC announced selective reductions on items such as Hot Wings and corn.
  • Industry groups and restaurateurs report that the minimum wage increase to €13.90 and higher energy and food costs leave little room for broad price cuts, with many operators holding prices steady.
  • A NIM survey of 1,010 adults conducted January 2–7 found only 13% expect lower restaurant prices, 41% foresee price stability, and 23% say they are likely to dine out more.
  • Analysts and consumer advocates highlight asymmetric pass‑through and warn that large chains may capture a disproportionate share of the tax benefit compared with small independent venues.