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Germany’s Population Fell in 2025 as Migration Slowed

Weaker net migration failed to offset Germany’s persistent birth–death gap, according to a preliminary Destatis estimate.

Overview

  • Germany ended 2025 with about 83.5 million residents, roughly 100,000 fewer than a year earlier, marking the first decline since 2020.
  • Births are estimated at 640,000–660,000 and deaths at about 1.00 million, leaving a birth deficit of 340,000–360,000 for a fourth straight year above 300,000.
  • Net migration is estimated at 220,000–260,000, at least 40% below 2024’s 430,183, leaving migration gains too small to close the birth–death gap.
  • The figures are provisional, built from monthly birth and migration data through October 2025 with the final two months modeled, with definitive results due in June–July 2026.
  • Population declines previously occurred from 2003–2010 and in 2020, while growth from 2011–2024 was driven largely by migration, which averaged 356,000 annually and was last this low in 2020.