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Germany’s Long-Term Care Insurance Faces Financial and Structural Crisis

Projected deficits, fraud vulnerabilities, and demographic pressures drive urgent calls for federal intervention and systemic reform.

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Overview

  • Germany’s statutory long-term care insurance is projected to face a €1.65 billion deficit in 2025, rising to €3.5 billion by 2026, according to DAK-Gesundheit forecasts.
  • Fraud in substitute care programs, facilitated by minimal oversight and simplified application processes, has been flagged as a significant issue, with ongoing investigations and prosecutions.
  • New Health Minister Nina Warken is advocating for federal compensation for pandemic-related costs and has announced plans to establish a federal-state working group to address long-term structural reforms.
  • Experts, including economist Veronika Grimm, suggest aligning benefits with realistic contributions, which may entail benefit reductions and higher self-pay requirements.
  • Public confidence in the care system is plummeting, with over 90% of Germans doubting its reliability and fearing that only the wealthy will afford quality care in the future.