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Germany’s Jobless Total Slips Below Three Million on Seasonal Lift

BA warns the decline reflects seasonal hiring, not a durable recovery.

Overview

  • Unemployment fell by 70,000 in September to 2.955 million, taking the rate to 6.3%, yet the total remains 148,000 higher than a year ago.
  • Seasonally adjusted joblessness rose by 14,000 and the BA jobs index held at 98, with the agency noting historically low chances of exiting unemployment.
  • Employer demand weakened further, with 630,000 vacancies registered in September, down 66,000 from a year earlier.
  • Short-time work stayed broadly stable, with 36,000 people newly reported for Kurzarbeit from September 1–24 and about 199,000 recipients in July on preliminary data.
  • Regional reports cite youth entering apprenticeships or jobs as a key driver of the monthly dip, while southern states such as Bavaria and Baden‑Württemberg show larger year-on-year increases and areas like NRW post expected seasonal declines.