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Germany’s Grain Harvest Forecast at 5 Percent Below Average After Heatwave

High input costs are driving farmers to adopt water-saving practices as they seek realistic policy support

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Overview

  • Germany’s grain harvest is projected at 40.1 million tonnes for 2025, roughly 5 percent below the ten-year average.
  • Late-June heatwaves accelerated ripening and triggered early harvests, with several Bavarian districts facing yield declines of 30 to 40 percent.
  • Data indicate each day of extreme heat reduces yield by 50 to 100 kilograms per hectare, equivalent to about 2,000 bread rolls lost per hectare daily.
  • Farmers report that conventional irrigation for grain is economically unfeasible and are shifting to water-efficient methods and drought-resistant crop varieties.
  • Growers are calling for pragmatic EU, federal and Bavarian measures, including targeted subsidies, streamlined regulations and €120 million annual support to expand organic acreage to 30 percent by 2030.