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Germany’s First Cannabis Review Finds No Urgent Changes, Little Black‑Market Impact

The report notes stable youth use and a sharp fall in offenses, with further reviews scheduled.

Overview

  • The interim evaluation says licensed cultivation clubs cover under 0.1% of national demand, leaving illegal supply largely intact.
  • Researchers estimate total demand in 2024 at roughly 670 to 823 tonnes, with medical cannabis supplying about 12% to 14%.
  • Youth consumption shows no increase and the long‑running adult use trend continues without a post‑legalization surge, according to wastewater and survey data.
  • Police recorded about 100,000 fewer cannabis cases in 2024, a 60% to 80% drop that researchers call the most significant decriminalization effect in modern Germany.
  • Health Minister Nina Warken flagged concerns and will discuss possible adjustments as CDU/CSU figures push for repeal, while the next interim report is due April 2026 and a final review in 2028.