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Germany’s Fertility Gap Widens as Birth Rate Falls

Experts warn that economic and geopolitical uncertainties are prompting young adults to delay parenthood despite steady family size aspirations

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Der starke Rückgang der Geburtenrate bei konstantem Kinderwunsch ist durchaus erklärungsbedürftig.
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Trotz sinkender Geburtenrate wünschen sich Erwachsene in Deutschland weiterhin mehr Kinder, als im Schnitt geboren werden. Dies deute auf einen Aufschub von Geburten hin, teilte das Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung in Wiesbaden mit.

Overview

  • Germany’s total fertility rate dropped from 1.58 children per woman in 2021 to 1.35 in 2024, among Europe’s lowest levels
  • Survey data show women still desire an average of 1.76 children and men 1.74, matching figures from three years earlier
  • Researchers point to subjective uncertainty from global crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine and climate change as drivers of postponed childbearing
  • The share of 30- to 39-year-olds planning a birth within three years fell from 28% to 24% for women and from 28% to 25% for men between 2021 and 2024
  • Study authors urge expanding reliable childcare, increasing housing affordability and ensuring political stability to help young adults turn intentions into parenthood