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Germany's Debt Brake Faces Reform Debate Ahead of February Election

Political divisions over fiscal rules have triggered early elections, raising questions about the future of Germany’s constitutional spending cap.

  • Germany's 'debt brake,' a constitutional rule limiting structural deficits to 0.35% of GDP, is under scrutiny as economic challenges mount.
  • Chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition government collapsed earlier this month due to disagreements over budgetary limits, leading to elections scheduled for February 23, 2025.
  • New Finance Minister Joerg Kukies supports moderate reforms to enable long-term investments while maintaining fiscal discipline under both national and EU rules.
  • Key political players, including the CDU’s Friedrich Merz and the Bundesbank, have signaled conditional openness to reforms that prioritize investment over increased consumption spending.
  • Any changes to the debt brake require a two-thirds parliamentary majority, but rising influence of far-right and hard-left parties could complicate future consensus.
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