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Germany’s Christmas Snow Odds Look Low Despite ‘100-Year’ Calendar Claims

Forecast models favor continued mild westerlies through mid-December, leaving only a limited, uncertain chance of a late cold turn.

Overview

  • Official services report a dry start to winter with snow confined to higher elevations, and models currently show little prospect of new snowfall for the holidays.
  • The Deutscher Wetterdienst confirms November was drier than average nationwide, while Bavaria’s flood service notes snow cover mainly in the mountains as of December 9.
  • The 100-year calendar called for early-December snow, windy conditions from December 20 to 25, and a colder finish to the month, with only the dry start lining up well so far.
  • Recent observations undercut some of the calendar’s specifics, including an early-November warmth record of 10.5 degrees on the Zugspitze reported by the DWD.
  • Wetter.com emphasizes that white Christmases are uncommon in Central Europe because prevailing west winds often bring thaw around the holiday period.