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Germany’s Cannabis Review Finds Black Market Largely Intact as Cases Plunge

Officials weigh tighter rules despite researchers stopping short of urging changes.

Overview

  • The first interim evaluation reports that licensed cultivation clubs supply under 0.1% of demand, medical channels cover roughly 12–14%, and total 2024 demand is estimated at about 670–823 tonnes.
  • Police and justice recorded a sharp drop in cannabis-related cases, with offenses falling from roughly 215,000 in 2023 to about 100,000 in 2024.
  • Researchers find no immediate harm to youth trends, noting continued declines in adolescent use and no surge among adults, while some acute health incidents and traffic effects remain uncertain.
  • The study highlights enforcement gaps such as hard-to-verify possession limits and private grow rules, and it recommends monitoring and targeted fixes rather than a broad legal overhaul.
  • Political reaction intensifies as Health Minister Nina Warken flags “concerning trends” and examines changes, the federal drug commissioner Hendrik Streeck urges stricter measures, and CDU/CSU figures call for repeal or tightening, while SPD and Greens defend the law with adjustments to clubs and controls.