Germany Prepares for Elections as CDU Leads and AfD Gains Ground

The February 23 vote follows the collapse of Olaf Scholz's coalition, with Friedrich Merz poised to take the lead in a fragmented political landscape.

The CDU/CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, is polling at approximately 30% and is expected to form the next government, though coalition negotiations may be complex.
The far-right AfD has surged to around 20% in the polls, doubling its 2021 performance and raising concerns about its growing influence.
The SPD, led by outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz, is projected to hit a historic low of 15%, reflecting widespread dissatisfaction with the previous coalition government.
The election has been marred by reports of Russian disinformation campaigns and allegations of external influence, including support for the AfD from Elon Musk and the Trump administration.
Germany's economic challenges, including a prolonged recession and industrial decline, are central issues, with immigration and security also dominating the political debate.