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Germany Heads From Warm Spell to Midweek Storms in the South as Polar Air Cools by Friday

The DWD highlights a localized heavy‑rain threat in the south with model signals for flash flooding.

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Overview

  • Tuesday stays mostly sunny and warm, with up to 32°C along the Upper Rhine and cooler 19–23°C near the North Sea.
  • From Wednesday, showers and thunderstorms expand from the southwest, with the greatest risk centered on Baden‑Württemberg and Bavaria.
  • Forecasters caution that some model runs simulate locally 100–200 l/m² in the south, with potential for hail, strong gusts and flash flooding.
  • By Friday, an influx of polar air lowers daytime temperatures broadly to about 17–22°C and brings fresher northerly winds with cooler nights down to roughly 7–14°C.
  • Conditions begin to stabilize over the weekend with more dry and sunny periods in many regions, though scattered showers are still possible and dryness persists elsewhere.