Overview
- Nighttime frost and local glatteis warnings were in force for the night of 14–15 November, with the DWD urging caution on roads and for early-morning travel.
- Model ensembles now show an increased chance of a stormy midweek on Tuesday–Wednesday (17–18 November), though forecasts differ on the exact track and strongest-hit regions.
- Some model runs and forecasters project very strong, localized gusts of about 100–120 km/h on Tuesday afternoon, with the possibility of narrow intense downdrafts (a stingjet) causing extreme but limited wind damage.
- Repeated rain episodes are expected through the week with 48–72 hour totals often 30–50 l/m² and up to 100–150 l/m² in windward mountain orography, raising the risk of higher river runoff and localized flooding.
- Forecasters advise securing loose outdoor items, avoiding forests and avenues during peak winds, and following DWD warnings as model runs refine timing, while the southward jetstream explains why upper‑level momentum could translate into stronger surface winds.