Overview

• High-pressure system Riccarda is blocking rain across Germany, marking the fourth consecutive month of drought and raising concerns over water shortages and agricultural stress.
• Southern Europe, particularly northern Italy, is experiencing severe rainfall, with up to 240 liters per square meter expected in some areas, increasing flood risks.
• Forecasts from ECMWF and NOAA indicate a 70% probability of a hot, dry summer in Germany, with potential for self-reinforcing heat waves exacerbated by dried soils.
• Scientists link the persistent weather patterns to a weakened Jetstream, driven by Arctic warming, which is amplifying extreme weather events across Europe.
• Experts warn that without significant adaptation measures, the projected heat and drought could severely impact agriculture, water resources, and public health systems.