Overview

• The NOAA Climate Forecast System has reversed its May 2025 prediction, now projecting significantly below-average rainfall across much of Germany.
• Germany is experiencing a nationwide precipitation deficit of 150–200 liters per square meter since February, with April delivering less than 10% of normal rainfall.
• An unusually early Omega high-pressure system over Central Europe is blocking rain systems, locking in dry, stable conditions expected to persist into early summer.
• Experts caution that low soil moisture could amplify summer heatwaves, with long-term models suggesting temperatures exceeding 35°C and potentially reaching 40°C in some areas.
• Farmers are bracing for crop stress and increased wildfire risks as the drought intensifies, with no significant rainfall relief in sight.