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Germany Enters High-Stakes 2026 State Election Year as AfD Gains in Polls

NRW premier Hendrik Wüst urges the federal coalition to show discipline to rebuild voter trust.

Overview

  • Five state votes are scheduled: Baden-Württemberg on 8 March, Rhineland-Palatinate on 22 March, Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September, and both Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on 20 September.
  • Recent surveys place the AfD near 40 percent in Saxony-Anhalt, where the party is classified by the domestic intelligence agency as reliably right-wing extremist.
  • CDU figures sharpen their stance against the AfD, with Sachsen-Anhalt’s Sven Schulze ruling out cabinet cooperation with both the AfD and Die Linke as campaigns intensify.
  • Election researchers caution that coalition building could be unusually complex, with scenarios up to broad anti-AfD alliances, while the FDP risks falling below the 5 percent threshold in the southwest.
  • The federal agenda opens the year with a 13-member pension commission, a Bund–Länder body on social administration, plans to revise heating and building rules, and renewed debate over easing the constitutional debt brake.