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Germany Confronts AI Labor Split: Routine Roles Shrink as Demand for Specialists Soars

Firms elevate job redesign as a path to effective human–AI collaboration.

Overview

  • New BearingPoint data show 80% of companies already see a 20% personnel overhang and expect it to climb to 30–40% by 2028.
  • Despite overcapacity in routine work, Bitkom estimates about 109,000 IT specialists are missing and 44% of leaders gauge a 40–60% shortfall in AI‑capable staff.
  • Executives are pivoting toward job and role redesign, with 52% ranking it a top priority as a quarter of organizations move from pilots to scaling AI in core business.
  • Hiring for junior developers is falling as assistants automate simple coding tasks, raising concerns about lost on‑the‑job learning and future shortages of senior talent.
  • Research distinguishes AI "pilots" who refine outputs from "passengers" who generate low‑substance "workslop," bolstering calls for clear usage policies and workforce training under the EU AI Act.