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Germany Braces for Powerful Atlantic Storm Thursday as DWD Warns of Severe Winds, Surge Risk

Model uncertainty over rapid deepening is prompting evolving surge, rain, wind alerts.

Overview

  • The national weather service expects stormy conditions from Thursday into Friday, with widespread storm gusts and the sharpest impacts anticipated in the northwest and along the North Sea coast.
  • DWD meteorologist Adrian Leyser warns of heavy storm to locally hurricane‑force gusts on the coast and in higher terrain, with road and rail disruptions considered likely.
  • Forecast models disagree on track and intensity: the German ICON and some runs show rapid deepening with coastal gusts roughly 150–160 km/h, while ECMWF and other guidance is closer to 100–120 km/h.
  • Coastal authorities NLWKN and BSH signal storm‑surge risk for late Thursday night into Friday along the North Sea, highlighting elevated tides for Hamburg and Lower Saxony ports.
  • Heavy rain is expected in places, with very high totals possible in western highlands such as the Black Forest, followed by a cooler, unsettled spell with potential mountain snow.