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Germany Advances Conditional Conscription Plan With Lottery Fallback

A December Bundestag vote will gauge support for a volunteers-first model that begins registration in 2026.

Overview

  • Lawmakers are expected to vote on the military service legislation in December.
  • The framework prioritizes voluntary enlistment with new incentives, requiring all 18-year-old men to register in 2026 and undergo medical screenings starting in 2027.
  • If volunteer targets are missed, a limited lottery-based draft could be activated subject to Bundestag approval.
  • Berlin aims to grow the force to roughly 260,000 active troops and 200,000 reservists by 2035 to meet NATO-related requirements.
  • Officials cite a mounting Russian threat as the rationale for the shift, while youth activists have criticized any potential return to compulsory service.