Overview

• A group of 15 security experts, including academics and a retired brigadier general, argues that the perceived threat of a Russian attack on NATO territory is overstated and lacks credible analysis.
• The experts emphasize that hybrid threats, such as cyberattacks and sabotage, are more plausible than conventional military aggression from Russia.
• The statement criticizes current 'panic-driven' security policies in Germany and Europe, warning that they exacerbate tensions without addressing underlying security challenges.
• The authors advocate for a balanced approach to European security, combining defensive investments with arms control, confidence-building measures, and diplomacy.
• They argue that NATO remains significantly stronger than Russia militarily, even without U.S. support, and call for political compromises to end the Ukraine conflict.