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German Retailers Report Declining Business Confidence During Holiday Season

The Ifo business climate index for the retail sector dropped in December, reflecting weaker current assessments and cautious expectations for 2025.

  • The Ifo Institute's business climate index for German retailers fell to -23.0 points in December, down slightly from -22.2 points in November.
  • Retailers evaluated their current business situation as worse than the previous month, with expectations for the next six months also declining.
  • Economic challenges in 2024, including weakening demand and a shortage of skilled workers, have contributed to the sector's struggles.
  • While rising disposable incomes could provide a boost in 2025, economic policy uncertainty continues to weigh on both businesses and consumers.
  • The retail sector experienced some improvement earlier in 2024, but conditions deteriorated in the latter half of the year, according to Ifo surveys.
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