German Polls Highlight Shifting Dynamics Ahead of February Bundestag Election

Union leads in polls but faces challenges in forming a majority, as SPD and FDP support declines while AfD and Greens gain traction.

The CDU/CSU remains the leading party in polls but has dropped below 30% in some surveys, complicating potential coalition scenarios.
The SPD is experiencing historic lows in voter support, with its polling numbers falling to as low as 16% nationally and 18% in North Rhine-Westphalia.
The Greens and AfD have gained ground, with the AfD polling as the second-strongest party nationally at 21% and the Greens showing modest growth in key regions.
The FDP is struggling to secure parliamentary representation, hovering around the 5% threshold required for Bundestag entry.
Coalition options remain uncertain, with the CDU/CSU potentially needing either the Greens or FDP to form a majority, as a Union-SPD alliance might fall short of the required seats.