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German Intelligence Chiefs Warn Russia Could Strike Before 2029, Seek Stronger Mandates

The leaders of BND, BfV and MAD say Europe is in a cold peace sliding toward open conflict and that AI‑accelerated hybrid attacks require faster legal and technical upgrades.

Overview

  • BND chief Martin Jäger told lawmakers Germany is already “in the line of fire” and urged against assuming any Russian attack on NATO territory would not come before 2029.
  • Verfassungsschutz head Sinan Selen labeled Russia “aggressive, offensive and increasingly escalatory,” citing September incidents from drones to GPS disruption and calling Moscow the main driver of sabotage in Germany and Europe.
  • MAD president Martina Rosenberg warned of efforts to destabilize the Bundeswehr through deepfakes, arson, drone overflights and threats to units in Lithuania, noting right‑wing extremism remains the largest internal issue in the forces.
  • The chiefs highlighted AI‑generated disinformation, automated cyber tools and social‑media algorithms that speed radicalization, and they warned Hamas networks and Islamist terrorism still pose risks in Germany despite developments in Gaza.
  • All three pressed for broader authorities, resources and streamlined oversight to enable real‑time collection and AI‑enabled analysis, saying reform drafts and funding pledges are underway but concrete legal changes remain pending.