Overview
- The Statistische Bundesamt reports real gastgewerbe revenue fell 3.7% in H1 2025, with restaurants down 4.1% as nominal sales slipped just 0.1% after price hikes.
- Momentum weakened into early summer, with June revenues down 5.9% in real terms year on year and dpa/Datev data indicating a further 4.0% decline in July.
- The federal plan to lower VAT on restaurant meals to 7% from January 2026 remains the sector’s key policy relief, though operators say it will mostly cover higher costs.
- Dehoga leaders, including Guido Zöllick and Thüringen’s Dirk Ellinger, welcome the tax cut but do not expect broad menu price reductions given rising energy, food and labor expenses.
- The NGG union warns customers not to expect a “Schnitzel discount,” urges diners to ask where the savings go, and regional reports cite added strains such as COVID aid repayments and high-profile Berlin closures.