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German Heating Costs Rise Again as Savings Behavior Fades

Fresh datasets highlight pellets and heat pumps as the lowest-cost options ahead of EU carbon pricing in 2027.

Overview

  • Techem’s new atlas reports private heating costs jumped an average of 82% from 2021 to 2024, with thermostats turned up last winter and a further consumption increase expected this year.
  • co2online’s 2025 Heizspiegel shows year-on-year price gains of roughly 20% for pellets, 15% for gas, 5% for heat pumps, and 3% for oil, driven by a long cold spell, higher CO2 pass-throughs, and tighter pellet supply.
  • For a typical 70 m² apartment this year, estimated running costs average about €1,180 for gas, €1,055 for oil, €740 for pellets, and €715 for a heat pump.
  • Techem’s meter-based analysis finds district heating currently the most expensive option, with wood and electricity cheapest and gas and oil in between.
  • From 2027, EU emissions trading will set CO2 costs that experts say will push fossil-fuel heating prices higher, posing particular risks in Bavaria where roughly 38% of buildings use oil and about 28% use gas.