Overview
- Lieutenant General Alexander Sollfrank told Reuters that Russia could launch a small, rapid, regionally limited attack on NATO territory as early as tomorrow.
- He said a large-scale assault is unlikely now due to Russia’s commitments in Ukraine but could become feasible by 2029 if rearmament continues.
- Sollfrank cited Russia’s intact air, nuclear and missile forces and sufficient main battle tanks, despite ground-force losses and Black Sea Fleet setbacks.
- He noted there is no indication such an attack is planned and said Moscow’s choice would hinge on its strength, record and leadership, with NATO deterrence proving decisive.
- Germany has loosened its debt brake to reach 3.5% of GDP in defense spending by 2029 and plans to add 60,000 troops, as recent drone incursions into Polish airspace underscore hybrid tactics meant to probe and intimidate.