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German Exports Slide as U.S. Tariffs Bite Even as July Output Rises

Provisional July data show exports fell 0.6%, with U.S.-bound goods down to €11.1 billion, the lowest since 2021.

Container ships are seen at the loading terminal "Altenwerder" in the port of Hamburg, Germany, February 17, 2025. Picture taken with a drone. REUTERS/Fabian Bimmer/File Photo
German exports to the US have been falling for months

Overview

  • Shipments to the United States dropped 7.9% from June to €11.1 billion, marking a fourth consecutive monthly decline, though the U.S. remained Germany’s top market.
  • Exports to China fell 7.3% on the month, adding to broad weakness outside the European Union.
  • Overall exports contracted 0.6% in July, underperforming analysts’ expectations for flat growth in a FactSet survey.
  • Germany posted a trade surplus of €14.7 billion as imports edged down 0.1% to €115.4 billion.
  • Industrial production rose 1.3% in July with gains in factory equipment, autos and pharmaceuticals, and ING’s Carsten Brzeski cautioned that any rebound remains uncertain.