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German Economy Faces Severe Structural Crisis, Forecasts 0.1% Growth in 2025

The IW Institute reports stagnation across key sectors, rising unemployment, and political gridlock as major obstacles to recovery.

  • Germany's economy is projected to grow by only 0.1% in 2025, following two consecutive years of contraction, according to the IW Institute.
  • The service sector's stability is barely offsetting significant declines in the industrial and construction sectors, highlighting deep structural issues.
  • Unemployment is expected to rise to 6.2% in 2025, with continued declines in overall employment and weak private consumption dampening domestic demand.
  • Geopolitical tensions and the prospect of U.S. trade policies under Donald Trump are predicted to further harm Germany's export-driven economy and investment climate.
  • Political uncertainty in Germany, marked by a government vacuum and stalled reforms, is exacerbating the economic stagnation and undermining investor confidence.
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