German Economic Growth Forecast Slashed to 0.2% for 2025
Trade conflicts, weak consumption, and global uncertainties weigh heavily on Germany's economic outlook, with recovery not expected until 2026.
- The Ifo Institute has cut its 2025 growth forecast for Germany to 0.2%, down from its earlier prediction of 0.4%.
- The OECD has similarly revised its 2025 growth projection for Germany to 0.4%, placing it among the weakest performers in the G20, ahead of only Mexico.
- Trade tensions, driven by U.S. protectionist policies and retaliatory tariffs, are cited as major factors impacting global and German economic performance.
- Potential recovery hinges on the implementation of planned government investments in infrastructure and defense, which could significantly boost growth in 2026.
- Experts warn that inflation in Germany may reach 2.4% in 2025, driven by rising service costs and wage pressures.