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German Defense Chief Warns NATO to Brace for Possible Russian Strike Within Four Years

Carsten Breuer cited Moscow’s annual production of 1,500 tanks with millions of surplus artillery shells to underscore NATO’s eastern flank vulnerability.

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Overview

  • German Defense Minister Carsten Breuer told the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore that NATO must prepare for a potential Russian attack by 2029 and sustain readiness today.
  • He warned that Russia’s yearly output of about 1,500 main battle tanks and production of four million 152-mm shells in 2024 have left substantial stocks available for future operations.
  • Breuer singled out the Suwalki Gap on the Lithuania-Poland border as one of the alliance’s most exposed corridors for a possible Russian thrust.
  • The defense chief said he has never seen such unity among NATO members and urged the alliance to bolster deterrence and collective defense measures.
  • He highlighted Moscow’s view of the Ukraine war as part of a wider conflict with NATO and urged members to accelerate military build-up in response.