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German Coalition Faces Budget Crisis, Defense Spending Rift, and Migration Overhaul

As revenue shortfalls strain fiscal planning, disagreements over NATO defense targets and strict new migration policies test government unity.

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Alexander Dobrindt
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Overview

  • Germany’s 2025 tax forecast reveals a €600 million revenue shortfall this year, with over €30 billion projected losses by 2029, pressuring budget planning.
  • The coalition plans a €500 billion special investment fund, requiring legislative action to bypass the constitutional debt brake.
  • Foreign Minister Wadephul's support for Trump’s 5% NATO defense spending target has drawn criticism from SPD, Greens, and the Left, while Chancellor Merz emphasizes capability-based planning over GDP percentages.
  • Interior Minister Dobrindt has implemented stricter border controls, increased asylum seeker returns, and proposed reversing citizenship reforms and limiting family reunifications.
  • Dobrindt also seeks expanded police powers, including IP address retention and advanced surveillance tools, sparking legal and political debates.