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German Aviation Falters as 2026 Budget Keeps Taxes Intact

Germany’s high aviation taxes are driving carriers to station jets overseas, hindering industry recovery.

Image
Ryanair Flugzeug bei der Abfertigung
Im europäischen Vergleich fliegen die Deutschen hinterher
En Flugzeug fliegt über die Köpfe von Urlaubern am Strand

Overview

  • Passenger volumes grew just 2.8 percent in the first half of 2025 but remain 15.8 percent below 2019 levels, signaling a stalled rebound.
  • Domestic flight capacity has recovered to only 49 percent of pre-pandemic levels, with winter schedules penciled in at about 90 percent compared with 116 percent across Europe.
  • Airlines such as Ryanair and Easyjet have relocated nearly one-third of Germany’s 190 domestic jets since 2019 in search of lower cost bases.
  • The Bundesverband der Deutschen Luftverkehrswirtschaft estimates each withdrawn medium-haul jet costs around 170 jobs and €70 million in annual GDP, amounting to over €4 billion in lost value.
  • The federal budget draft for 2026 omits planned cuts to the aviation tax, extending the sector’s cost disadvantage against European peers.