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GeorgiaTexas Preview: Odds Favor Bulldogs as Models and Saban Point to a Tight Test

The outcome will shape SEC positioning with the loser drifting toward the playoff bubble.

Overview

  • DraftKings lists No. 5 Georgia as roughly a 6 to 6.5-point home favorite over No. 10 Texas for Saturday’s 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Sanford Stadium in a rematch of two Georgia wins in 2024.
  • ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Georgia a 59.9% chance to win and projects a 92.3% playoff likelihood for the Bulldogs ahead of their final two regular-season games.
  • SportsLine’s computer model projects Texas to cover the spread in a majority of simulations (about 57%) even as other analysts, including CBS Sports’ picks panel, back Georgia to cover.
  • Nick Saban praised Arch Manning’s recent improvement and Texas’ offensive line progress, while cautioning that Georgia’s defense needs to improve and noting Texas’ secondary issues.
  • Recent trends underscore the venue edge and road form, with Georgia 19-1 in its past 20 home games and Texas 13-2 in its last 15 on the road, as parallel models also back Oklahoma to cover at Alabama.