Overview
- A weak G1 storm is ongoing after a brief G2 interval overnight on Nov. 6, according to Russian space‑weather reports.
- Models indicate the main coronal mass ejection should reach Earth around midday Nov. 7, when activity could strengthen to G3 or even G4.
- Forecasters currently view an extreme G5 event as unlikely based on preliminary guidance.
- Disturbances are expected to persist through Nov. 6–7, ease overnight Nov. 8, and return to quiet conditions by Nov. 9 if the outlook holds.
- Labs at IKI RAS and ISZF SB RAS tie the event to powerful Nov. 5 flares whose wide, fast ejecta raise forecast uncertainty and extend risk for roughly ten days.