Genial/Quaest Poll Finds Lula at 47% Approval, 49% Disapproval as Majority Rejects Reelection

Overview

• The poll interviewed 2,004 Brazilians in person from January 8 to 11 and reports a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points at 95% confidence.
• On reelection, 56% say President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva does not deserve another term, 40% say he does, and 4% did not answer.
• Lula’s standing improved in the Northeast, where 67% approve and 30% disapprove, while approval worsened in the Southeast, South, Center-West, and North.
• Self-identified independents show higher disapproval, with 53% rejecting the government and 38% approving.
• In qualitative ratings, 39% call the government negative, 32% positive, and 27% regular, following a year that ranged from 52% approval in December 2024 to a 57% disapproval peak in May 2025.