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Generative AI to Change Most Australian Jobs, With Clerical Roles at Greatest Risk

The report urges creation of a national leadership framework to accelerate AI training for at-risk workers.

Overview

  • Modelling shows only about 4% of workers face high automation exposure while 79% will see AI augment their roles rather than replace them.
  • Routine clerical and administrative positions such as bookkeepers, receptionists and accounting clerks are projected to suffer the largest employment declines by 2050.
  • Occupations requiring human presence and interaction—cleaners, nurses, construction labourers and hospitality staff—are forecast to experience the strongest growth.
  • Across all AI adoption scenarios, employment is expected to grow more slowly through the 2030s before accelerating in the 2040s, yielding net job gains by mid-century.
  • The report calls for targeted reskilling programs, digital inclusion measures and a national leadership framework to support vulnerable groups including women, older Australians and First Nations peoples.