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Gemini Prepares Regulated Prediction Markets Pending CFTC Approval

The exchange filed in May for a CFTC-designated market to expand beyond core crypto trading.

Overview

  • Bloomberg reports Gemini plans to list event-based contracts on politics, sports and economic outcomes once its derivatives exchange is approved.
  • Public CFTC documents show Gemini Space Station registered “Gemini Titan” to operate as a designated contract market.
  • Regulatory review could take months, and recent U.S. government shutdown effects may further slow new approvals, according to the coverage.
  • A launch would put Gemini in competition with Kalshi and Polymarket as the sector sets records, including October volumes of $4.4 billion and $3 billion respectively.
  • The strategy follows financial strain post-IPO, with a $282 million first-half 2025 loss and a slumping share price, and the company’s first earnings report is slated for Nov. 10.