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Gaza Death Toll May Be 40% Higher Than Official Figures, Study Finds

A Lancet study estimates over 64,000 deaths from traumatic injuries in Gaza during the first nine months of the Israel-Hamas war, surpassing official tallies.

  • The peer-reviewed study, published in The Lancet, used capture-recapture analysis to estimate 64,260 deaths in Gaza from October 2023 to June 2024.
  • The estimate is 41% higher than the official Palestinian Health Ministry's count of 37,877 for the same period.
  • Researchers highlighted that 59.1% of the deaths were women, children, and elderly individuals over 65, but did not estimate the number of combatants killed.
  • The study excluded deaths from indirect causes, such as lack of healthcare or food, and did not account for thousands believed to still be buried under rubble.
  • Israeli officials disputed the findings, asserting that the military takes extensive measures to avoid civilian casualties, while accusing Hamas of using civilians as human shields.
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