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Gates Warns Child Mortality Rose in 2025, Cites Aid Cuts and Urges Donor Action

He blames recent aid cuts, urging wealthy donors to close the gap.

Overview

  • Deaths of children under five increased from 4.6 million in 2024 to 4.8 million in 2025, the first rise this century, according to Gates’ annual letter.
  • Gates links the setback to sweeping foreign-aid reductions under President Donald Trump and cost-cutting tied to Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, a causality Musk has publicly challenged.
  • The Gates Foundation’s Goalkeepers analysis, using IHME data, projects roughly 12–12.5 million additional child deaths by 2045 if health assistance falls 20% from 2024 levels.
  • In 2025 Gates pledged about $100 billion to his foundation as part of a $200 billion plan to be spent within 20 years and called on other billionaires to accelerate giving.
  • Gates says AI-fueled innovation gives him cautious optimism, yet he warns the next five years will be tough as health programs work to regain lost ground.