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Gates Report Says Health-Aid Cuts Driving First Rise in Child Deaths This Century

The foundation ties a steep U.S.-led pullback in health funding to stalled vaccine programs, projecting 200,000 additional under‑5 deaths in 2025.

Overview

  • The Goalkeepers report projects 4.8 million under‑5 deaths in 2025, about 200,000 more than in 2024, the first annual increase since 2000.
  • Global development assistance for health fell by just under 27% year over year, with U.S. reductions identified as the largest driver of the increase in child deaths.
  • U.S. actions this year—including canceling foreign aid, dismantling USAID through DOGE, and halting Gavi funding in June—disrupted programs that the foundation says have cost lives.
  • Bill Gates called the USAID shutdown a “gigantic mistake” and said he is urging President Trump to restore international health aid.
  • IHME modeling in the report warns that sustained 20% cuts could lead to roughly 12 million additional child deaths by 2045, as further cutbacks by Britain, France and Germany compound the risks.