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Gas Prices Seen Falling in 2026 to First Sub-$3 Average Since 2020

Strong global supply plus near-record U.S. output underpin forecasts for cheaper fuel.

Overview

  • GasBuddy projects a $2.97 national average for 2026, with a brief monthly peak near $3.12 in May and a year-end average around $2.83.
  • The Energy Information Administration expects U.S. oil prices to average about $51 per barrel this year as supply remains ample.
  • Preliminary EIA data show U.S. production near record levels at 13.83 million barrels per day in late December 2025, supporting lower pump prices.
  • GasBuddy estimates U.S. drivers will spend roughly $11 billion less on gasoline in 2026, with average household spending near $2,083.
  • AAA reports Florida’s average at $2.83 per gallon and notes minimal market reaction so far to U.S. actions in Venezuela, while broader geopolitical risks and possible OPEC policy shifts could change the outlook.