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Gallego Leads in Hypothetical Arizona Senate Race, Sinema Yet to Announce Intentions

Arizona emerges as a full-scale swing state, with independents now forming the largest voter group.

  • A recent poll shows Rep. Ruben Gallego leading the hypothetical three-way Senate race for Arizona's 2024 Senate seat with 39% support, followed by Kari Lake with 33%, and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema in last place, with 29% support.
  • Sinema, who switched from Democrat to Independent, has not yet announced if she will run for reelection, a decision that could significantly impact the race.
  • Arizona is becoming a full-scale swing state, with independents now forming the largest voter group, edging out Republicans.
  • Kari Lake's campaign sees former President Donald Trump's lead in Arizona polls as a positive sign for her bid.
  • In a separate hypothetical three-way race involving the presumptive candidates, Lake leads Gallego by 1 point, 37%-36%, with Sinema trailing behind at 15%, according to recent polling from the Cygnal group.
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