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Gabrielle Weakens Toward Europe as Narda Intensifies, Triggering Wide-Ranging Weather Alerts

Officials caution of heavy rain, strong winds and hazardous surf across western Mexico, with additional storm advisories in Spain and parts of the United States.

Overview

  • Gabrielle remains a major Atlantic hurricane with sustained winds near 115 mph but is forecast to gradually weaken and transition to a post‑tropical low, with a possible arrival near Galicia over the weekend under high track uncertainty.
  • Narda is strengthening in the eastern Pacific and, together with the Mexican monsoon, a new cold front and tropical wave 34, is driving warnings for intense rainfall, gusty winds and elevated seas in states including Jalisco, Nayarit, Michoacán and Colima.
  • Mexico’s SMN projects rainfall totals reaching the intense tier in Nayarit, western Jalisco, Guerrero and Oaxaca, wind gusts of 50–70 km/h in parts of the north and northeast, and wave heights of 2–3 meters along sections of the Pacific coast.
  • AEMET has activated advisories in Catalonia and the Balearic Islands for downpours, thunderstorms and coastal waves, with localized rainfall up to 20 liters per square meter in Girona and nearby coastal areas.
  • NWS guidance highlights a cold front supporting storms from the Northeast to Texas with a slight risk of excessive rain in the Ohio Valley and central Tennessee, while Argentina’s services flag Friday–Saturday storms for Mendoza and Buenos Aires, including possible hail and mountain snow in the Andes.