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1h ago

Gabrielle Holds at Category 4 as NHC Eyes Likely New Depression and Leewards Wave

Forecasters warn of dangerous surf along Atlantic beaches, with guidance pointing to an offshore track for the central disturbance.

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Tropical depression likely to form in Atlantic, second disturbance will approach Bahamas. (WPEC){p}{/p}
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It has a 10% to 50% chance of development through the next two to seven days. (WPEC)

Overview

  • Hurricane Gabrielle has 140 mph winds and is moving northeast away from Bermuda, with gradual weakening expected as it approaches the Azores late Thursday.
  • Swells from Gabrielle are reaching Bermuda, the U.S. East Coast from the Carolinas northward, and Atlantic Canada, creating life‑threatening surf and rip currents.
  • A disturbance about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles has an 80% seven‑day formation chance and is likely to become a tropical depression Thursday or Friday while tracking WNW to NW over the western tropical Atlantic.
  • Forecast guidance favors the developing central‑Atlantic system remaining over open water on a path broadly similar to Gabrielle.
  • A second wave about 100 miles east of the Leeward Islands carries a 50% seven‑day formation chance, will bring gusty winds and heavy rain to the Leewards, Puerto Rico, and the USVI, and could organize near the Bahamas late week as a frontal boundary reduces the risk to Florida; the next name would be Humberto.