French PM Michel Barnier Faces Likely Ouster in No-Confidence Vote

The National Assembly is set to vote on motions of no confidence, with opposition blocs poised to topple the government over budget disputes and political gridlock.

• Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government, in power for just three months, is expected to fall as left-wing and far-right parties align in a no-confidence vote over budget disagreements.
• The National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, plans to support a motion tabled by the leftist Nouveau Front Populaire, a rare alliance that could secure enough votes to oust Barnier.
• The crisis stems from Barnier's use of Article 49.3 to bypass parliamentary approval on the social security budget, prompting accusations of overreach and fueling distrust across the political spectrum.
• President Emmanuel Macron, rejecting calls for his resignation, faces limited options to resolve the stalemate, as new elections cannot be called for a year following the summer's snap elections.
• The political uncertainty, coupled with France's rising public debt and economic challenges, risks deepening instability and further polarizing the country's fragmented National Assembly.

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