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3mo ago

French PM Bayrou Expected to Survive No-Confidence Vote Over Budget

François Bayrou's use of constitutional powers to pass the 2025 budget has drawn criticism, but key opposition parties are unlikely to support efforts to topple his government.

A general view shows the hemicycle during a discussion on the conclusions of the joint committee (CMP) about the 2025 French budget bill at the National Assembly in Paris, France, February 3, 2025. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes/ File Photo
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou sits on the ministers bench after delivering his general policy speech, Tuesday, Jan. 14, 2025 at the National Assembly in Paris. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus)
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French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou delivers a speech as Yael Braun-Pivet, President of the National Assembly, listens to during a debate on a motion of no-confidence against the French government on the 2025 budget bill (PLF), tabled by members of parliament of La France Insoumise (France Unbowed - LFI) parliamentary group, at the National Assembly in Paris, France, February 5, 2025. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes

Overview

  • Prime Minister François Bayrou invoked Article 49.3 of the French Constitution to pass the 2025 budget without a parliamentary vote, prompting no-confidence motions from the far-left France Unbowed party.
  • Both the Socialist Party and the far-right National Rally have stated they will not support the no-confidence vote, ensuring Bayrou's government survives for now.
  • The Socialist Party's decision not to back the motion has strained its alliance with other left-wing parties, potentially marking the end of the New Popular Front coalition.
  • Bayrou's government faces ongoing challenges, including additional no-confidence motions and criticism over his controversial comments on immigration, which some view as aligning with far-right rhetoric.
  • The stability of Bayrou's administration is critical for France's financial credibility, as the country grapples with a significant budget deficit and political fragmentation.