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French Investor Fuels Trump Surge in Prediction Markets

A wealthy Frenchman has significantly impacted betting odds by investing millions in favor of Donald Trump on Polymarket.

  • Polymarket, a major prediction market, currently gives Donald Trump a 62 percent chance of winning the presidential election.
  • A French national with extensive trading experience has been identified as the source of a $28 million investment in pro-Trump predictions.
  • The Frenchman's investments have shifted Polymarket odds significantly, despite his claims of no intent to manipulate the market.
  • Experts caution against equating prediction market odds with polling data, as they can be influenced by large individual investments.
  • Concerns have been raised about the potential for wealthy individuals to manipulate prediction markets, although past attempts have generally failed.
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