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French Government Faces Collapse as No-Confidence Vote Looms

Prime Minister Michel Barnier's administration struggles to survive as left and far-right parties unite against the budget proposal.

Michel Barnier à la tribune, ce lundi, au moment d’activer l’article 49.3.
Le Premier ministre français Michel Barnier à l’Assemblée nationale à Paris, France, le 2 décembre 2024.
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Overview

  • Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government is on the brink of collapse, with a no-confidence vote scheduled in the National Assembly on December 4.
  • Marine Le Pen's Rassemblement National (RN) has confirmed it will support the left-wing Nouveau Front Populaire's motion of censure, likely securing enough votes to topple the government.
  • Barnier invoked Article 49.3 to pass the 2025 social security budget without a parliamentary vote, triggering backlash and the censure motions.
  • President Emmanuel Macron, currently abroad, has ruled out resigning and emphasized France's stability, despite opposition calls for his departure.
  • Speculation over Barnier's potential successors includes François Bayrou, Sébastien Lecornu, and Bernard Cazeneuve, though no clear parliamentary majority is in sight for any new government.