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Broncos Slight Favorites Over Bills for Divisional Round at Mile High

Analytic projections edge toward Denver on the strength of its top-tier pass rush.

Overview

  • Buffalo visits Denver on Saturday at 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS for the AFC Divisional Round at Empower Field at Mile High.
  • Bills receiver Tyrell Shavers is out with a torn ACL, leaving a thin wideout group with Khalil Shakir and rookie Keon Coleman expected to carry more targets.
  • Buffalo is monitoring Josh Allen for head, hand and leg issues noted after the Jacksonville game.
  • Sportsbooks list Denver around a 1 to 1.5-point favorite with near-even moneylines, while Dimers’ model gives the Broncos a 56% win probability and expert picks remain split.
  • Denver’s defense logged 68 sacks and ranked among the NFL leaders in limiting completion rate and yards per attempt, as Sean Payton urges the offense to be sharper.