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France’s Social Security Budget Faces Knife‑Edge Assembly Vote Today

Having secured Socialist backing and proposed new health spending, the government is chasing just enough cross‑bench support to pass the bill without using 49.3.

Overview

  • The National Assembly is set to vote in second reading this evening on the 2026 Social Security financing bill, with the outcome described as extremely close and potentially decided by only a few votes.
  • Olivier Faure urged Socialist deputies to back the text after concessions including lifting the pension freeze, while Renaissance and MoDem plan to vote for and Liot figures signal likely support.
  • To sway undecided deputies, the government tabled amendments raising the health‑spending target (ONDAM) to 3% and adding €100 million for overseas health needs, moves the ecologist group says will weigh in its decision.
  • Les Républicains and Horizons remain split and are largely leaning toward abstention, with final positions being set in Tuesday group meetings, as La France insoumise and the Rassemblement national vow to vote against.
  • Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has ruled out using 49.3; a rejection could leave France without an adopted Social Security budget on January 1 and push the deficit toward €29–30 billion versus €19.6 billion in the current plan, and RN figures are calling for his resignation if the bill fails.